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Thursday, 15 November 2012

Doing the math - death by vaping, how would we know?


I read a very confusing article HERE Oh dear - it's gone! (Or rather, I now have to register for it) 

So, I'll just try to remember - It said that from now till 2040, the number of women dying from lung cancer will grow 360% while deaths for men would increase - can't remember - 36%?. This is because my generation of women (that's me , so I identified with this report) began smoking in the 60's - and I did.

Well - we are all now in our late sixties I should think. I figured if we are snuffing it in our millions from now till 2040 - another 28years for me - we'd have had a good innings smoking or no smoking. 

 In 2040 -  women who started smoking in the sixties  will be in their nineties. 
 
I'm not arguing with experts - I'm trying to do the Math.

I must remember to tell my doctor if I get lung cancer in the next 28 years it;s probably the smoking I did for 50 years rather than the vaping I have done for over a year and intend doing in the future. 

 I can see a collision here of statistics.  Older vapers, dying from lung cancer (from smoking) might be counted as proof that vaping causes lung cancer - how would we know?

This register for report was here -  http://www.nursingtimes.net/nursing-practice/clinical-zones/cancer/experts-predict-steep-rise-in-lung-cancer-cases/5051749.article

Oh - crikey! I found versions all over the place - I think this is because Cancer UK are touting for funds rather than anything significant.... 
  1. BBC News - Lung cancer in women 'to soar' by 2040

    www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-20269918
    3 days ago – The number of women living with lung cancer in the UK is set to rise significantly ... cases in women will rise from about 26,000 in 2010 to 95,000 in 2040. ... Pakistan agrees Taliban releases · Death sought in US soldier case ...
  2. Lung cancer rates in women 'to soar' by 2040 - Health News - NHS ...

    www.nhs.uk/.../Lung-cancer-rates-in-women-to-soar-by-2040....
    2 days ago – Lung cancer is the leading cause of death from cancer in the UK. Ciarán Devane, Macmillan's chief executive, says: "For most cancers in the ...
  3. Lung cancer among women to quadruple by 2040: study

    health.ninemsn.com.au/.../lung-cancer-among-women-to-quad...
    2 days ago – Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in Australia –– only 14 percent of Australians diagnosed survive five years after diagnosis.
  4. Lung cancer rates soaring for women after tobacco manufacturers ...

    www.dailymail.co.uk/.../Lung-cancer-rates-soaring-women-to...
    3 days ago – It is also the biggest cause of death in Britain claiming 35,000 lives annually, ... Dangers: The number of women with lung cancer in 2040 is ...
  5. Women's lung cancer to quadruple by 2040

    health.msn.co.nz › HEALTH NEWS
    1 day ago – Lung cancer rates will rise 35 times faster in women than in men in the ... Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in New Zealand ...
  6. Lung cancer cases to double over next 30 years predicts charity ...

    news.stv.tv/.../199943-lung-cancer-cases-to-double-over-next-...
    3 days ago – Awareness: Lung cancer death rates in Scottish women are rising. ... with lung cancer in Scotland in 2040, compared to around 5500 today, ...
  7. Female Lung Cancer Rates To Skyrocket

    www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/252670.php
    2 days ago – Male annual cancer deaths over the same period are expected to rise by 8%, from 39,000 in 2010 to 42,000 in 2040. Lung cancer will continue ...
  8. Experts predict steep rise in lung cancer cases | News | Nursing Times

    www.nursingtimes.net/.../cancer/...lung-cancer.../5051749.arti...
    1 day ago – ... living with lung cancer is set to rise to around 137000 by 2040. ... Statistics show lung cancer is the fifth most common cause of death for ...
  9. Lung cancer in women to triple by 2040, says study - Supanet

    www.supanet.com/lung-cancer-in-women-to-triple-by-2040-s...
    1 day ago – A study predicts 95,000 cases of lung cancer in women by 2040. .... Bill, who was a life-long heavy smoker, had “cheated” death twice before ...
  10. Lung cancer rates among women set to soar by 2040

    www.tescodiets.com/.../lung-cancer-rates-among-women-set-t...
    2 days ago – The number of women affected by lung cancer is expected to rise 35 times faster than in men by 2040, it has been warned. As many as 95000 ...